Global economy

The economy is a part of everyday life and affects our income, spending, investments, and opportunities. Whether we actively follow economic developments or not, changes in the global economy can have a direct impact on businesses, markets, and our financial decisions.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
2 weeks ago

Italy Raises 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to Nearly 1%

Italy is set to raise its 2026 GDP growth forecast to nearly 1%, up from 0.6% in April.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
3 weeks ago

Oil Prices, Inflation and Fed Interest Rates: How They Affect Each Other

Oil prices affect inflation through fuel, transportation and production costs. Inflation, in turn, influences Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions. Monetary policy can then affect oil demand by accelerating or slowing economic activity.

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Artem Voloskovets Artem Voloskovets Global economy
1 month ago

US Real Retail Sales Hit Record High — but Are Only 1.4% Above 2021 Levels

U.S. retail spending rebounded sharply in August. Headline retail and food-services sales rose 1.2% month over month, beating the 0.8% consensus forecast, while the retail control group jumped 1.4% versus 0.5% expected. The Census Bureau's headline series is seasonally adjusted but not adjusted for inflation.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
2 months ago

SOFR Holds at 3.62% as U.S. Overnight Funding Costs Stay Stable

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) was 3.62% on August 13, unchanged from August 12, showing little change in the cost of overnight borrowing backed by U.S. Treasury securities.

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Artem Voloskovets Artem Voloskovets Global economy
4 months ago

Fed Pause, Inflation Pressure, and the Market's Next Question

The June Federal Reserve meeting looks largely settled. According to CME FedWatch data, traders assign a 98.6% probability to the Fed keeping its target range at 3.50%-3.75%.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
4 months ago

The World Is Adjusting to a New Economic Reality. Here's What the World Bank Says Comes Next

The global economy is no longer struggling with the same problems it faced during the pandemic or the inflation shock that followed. Yet according to the World Bank, a different challenge is emerging: the world may be entering a prolonged period of slower growth.

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Artem Voloskovets Artem Voloskovets Global economy
4 months ago

What the Fed Funds Rate Is Really Telling Us Right Now

The Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) rarely makes headlines. It moves in small increments, receives little mainstream attention, and is often overshadowed by inflation reports and Federal Reserve meetings.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
4 months ago

UAE's 6.2% GDP Growth Reveals a Bigger Shift Beyond Oil

The UAE's economy grew 6.2% in 2025, but the bigger story lies beneath the headline figure. Non-oil sectors now account for nearly 80% of GDP, while finance and insurance are emerging as one of the country's fastest-growing industries.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
4 months ago

Industrial Policy Is No Longer a Crisis Response. It’s Becoming the Core Logic of the Global Economy

Industrial policy activity has accelerated sharply since the pandemic, according to new IMF data, signaling a structural shift toward state-driven competition across semiconductors, AI infrastructure, energy systems, and strategic manufacturing.

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Victoria Bazir Victoria Bazir Global economy
5 months ago

Inflation Risk Is Testing the AI Trade

Rising inflation expectations and elevated Treasury yields are beginning to test one of the market’s most crowded trades: AI. As infrastructure costs climb and financing conditions tighten, investors are starting to reassess how sustainable the current AI expansion cycle really is.

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Artem Voloskovets Artem Voloskovets Global economy
5 months ago

Britain Is Quietly Becoming Europe’s AI Capital Market

The UK captured a record 48% of all European venture capital funding in 2026.

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Artem Voloskovets Artem Voloskovets Global economy
5 months ago

Producer Inflation Is Climbing as AI Power Demand Surges

Producer prices in the U.S. are rising again as AI-driven datacenter expansion sharply increases electricity and infrastructure demand. Two charts suggest the next inflation cycle may be tied less to consumer spending and more to the physical cost of building the AI economy.

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Alex Dudov Alex Dudov Global economy
5 months ago

Is Inflation Spiraling Again After the Latest PPI Shock?

Hotter-than-expected PPI and CPI data are reigniting fears that inflation is spreading far beyond energy markets. As Treasury yields climb and hopes for rate cuts fade, investors are beginning to question whether the U.S. economy is entering a new stagflationary phase.

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Victoria Bazir Victoria Bazir Global economy
5 months ago

What Happens if AI Stops Carrying the U.S. Economy?

New data suggests AI-driven tech investment accounted for roughly 67% of all U.S. economic growth in Q1 2026. The numbers raise a bigger question: has artificial intelligence become the single pillar holding up the American economy?

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Victoria Bazir Victoria Bazir Global economy
5 months ago

US Inflation Gauge Holds at 2.00% as Food Prices Continue Cooling

Truflation’s real-time U.S. inflation gauge held at 2.00% YoY, signaling that price pressures remain relatively stable despite rising transportation costs. Cooling food inflation continues supporting the broader disinflation trend as markets watch for the Fed’s next move.

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Victoria Bazir Victoria Bazir Global economy
5 months ago

Hassett’s 4% GDP Forecast Stands Far Above Wall Street Expectations

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is predicting that the U.S. economy could grow by 4% this year - a forecast that would place economic expansion well above most Wall Street and Federal Reserve projections.

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Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
5 months ago

Hong Kong’s 5.9% Growth Surge: What’s Driving the Fastest Expansion in 5 Years?

Hong Kong’s economy has posted its strongest quarterly growth in nearly five years, signaling a sharp rebound - but the data shows a more nuanced recovery story.

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Alex Dudov Alex Dudov Global economy
5 months ago

UK Inflation Slows to 1.72% on Truflation Data, Diverging From Official CPI

Real-time Truflation data shows UK inflation at 1.72%, significantly below the official 3.4% rate, highlighting a growing gap in inflation signals.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
5 months ago

US Inflation Slips to 1.76% as Food and Gasoline Prices Ease

Truflation data shows US inflation ticking lower to 1.76% YoY, driven by declines in restaurant and gasoline prices.

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Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
6 months ago

U.S.–Japan $550B Deal Triggers Wave of Energy and Infrastructure Projects in 2026

A landmark $550B U.S.–Japan agreement is now translating into real-world projects, with major investments in energy, infrastructure, and industrial capacity across the United States.

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